Polymarket Trader

liwil

0x689f6e30a6a94fb74f965be03a07005e307ef704

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.52
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $8.55
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $291.45
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$6.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $133.41
Potential profit: $133.34
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $126.5
Potential profit: $126.31
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $122.22
Potential profit: $122.16
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $122.22
Potential profit: $113.97
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: $7.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $121.59
Potential profit: $120.43
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$3.84

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $119.09
Potential profit: $119.03
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.61
Potential profit: $108.61
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.07
Potential profit: $99.07
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $98.15
Potential profit: $98.1
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.91
Potential profit: $97.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.38
Potential profit: $96.38
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $92.89
Potential profit: $92.57
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $86.1
Potential profit: $86.01
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$14.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $85.56
Potential profit: $85.52
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $4.31
Potential payout: $78.43
Potential profit: $74.12
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.63
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $64.19
Potential profit: $63.71
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $60.68
Potential profit: $60.65
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $59.15
Potential profit: $57.43
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: $0.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 4?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 4?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 4?

Yes 16% 6.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 4?

Yes 4.7% 21.33 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 4?

Yes 0.8% 122.22 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 4?

Yes 5.1% 98.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 4?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 4?

Yes 11.9% 42.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 4?

Yes 16% 37.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 4?

Yes 1.7% 59.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 4?

Yes 26% 19.23 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 4?

Yes 6.4% 78.43 shares