Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $69.28
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$338.73
Polymarket Trader
0x689f...b3dd
0x689f9211bba94f7f5921a1b9a6110f639fe9b3dd
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $260.94
- Realized PnL
- -$1.49K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $123
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$63.53
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $68.67
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$43.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.59
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.48
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $107.63
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.42
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.89
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.94
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.78
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$67.52
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$76.19
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$190.04
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$205.62
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$311.37
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.71K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 9% 1,237.78 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 5.8% 1,939.83 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 939.13 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 15.3% 2,664.56 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 79% 123.27 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 78.9% 61.63 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 79.2% 61.63 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes 78.6% 276.42 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes 41.5% 276.43 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 58% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 65% 174.08 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes 18.8% 422.6 shares