Yes position
Will Georgia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.09K
- Potential profit
- $25.09K
- User PnL
- -$99.98
Polymarket Trader
0x68B50B59d5e5ed5702c7748697FB94066F2AB658-1766190470756
0x68b50b59d5e5ed5702c7748697fb94066f2ab658
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $262.77
- Realized PnL
- $478
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $262.77
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- $162.77
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $599.99
- User PnL
- -$34.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $541.97
- Potential profit
- $541.97
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $410.65
- Potential profit
- $410.65
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.99
- Potential profit
- $249.99
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.63
- Potential profit
- $249.63
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on January 19?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$11.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.65
- Potential profit
- $92.65
- User PnL
- -$10
Miami position
Miami vs. Indiana
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.07
- Potential profit
- $74.07
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67
- Potential profit
- $67
- User PnL
- -$10.72
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.86
- Potential profit
- $59.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.56
- Potential profit
- $50.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.78
- Potential profit
- $48.78
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.71
- Potential profit
- $41.71
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.26
- Potential profit
- $40.26
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.99
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.07
Yes position
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.47
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $35.15
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.41
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.84
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.02
No position
US strike on Colombia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 15°F or below on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Georgia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes 0.4% 25,088.28 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes 16.7% 59.86 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?No 40.1% 249.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 26?Yes 14% 35.67 shares
- Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes 54% 166.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 22?Yes 3% 66.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 22?Yes 24% 41.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 22?Yes 2.9% 343.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 23?Yes 10.8% 92.65 shares
- Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes 24% 166.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 21?Yes 24.8% 40.26 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 435 shares