Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $500K
- Potential profit
- $498.75K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $250
Polymarket Trader
mombil
@mombil
0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $378.34K
- Realized PnL
- $390.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $47.57K
- Potential payout
- $257.16K
- Potential profit
- $209.58K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$9.63K
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $10.88K
- Potential payout
- $244.45K
- Potential profit
- $233.57K
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.2%
- Current value
- $43.47K
- Potential payout
- $180K
- Potential profit
- $136.53K
- Multiplier
- 4.14x
- User PnL
- -$46.53K
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 75.8%
- Current value
- $136.51K
- Potential payout
- $180K
- Potential profit
- $43.49K
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $46.51K
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $148.72K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$704.85
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $2.7K
- Potential payout
- $101.72K
- Potential profit
- $99.03K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $624.48
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $41.38
- Potential payout
- $82.76K
- Potential profit
- $82.72K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$175.12
Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $651.93
- Potential payout
- $62.09K
- Potential profit
- $61.44K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $253.82
Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $426.49
- Potential payout
- $56.87K
- Potential profit
- $56.44K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$411.94
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $51.84K
- Potential payout
- $55K
- Potential profit
- $3.16K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.74K
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Current value
- $5.03K
- Potential payout
- $55K
- Potential profit
- $49.97K
- Multiplier
- 10.93x
- User PnL
- $582.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $29.35K
- Potential payout
- $52.41K
- Potential profit
- $23.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $11.22K
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $2.84K
- Potential payout
- $50.33K
- Potential profit
- $47.49K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $276.42
Yes position
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $325
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.68K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $48.82K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $375
Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $225
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.77K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $719.12
- Potential payout
- $41.09K
- Potential profit
- $40.37K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$66.98
Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $306.5
- Potential payout
- $40.87K
- Potential profit
- $40.56K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$20.43
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $6.47K
- Potential payout
- $40.08K
- Potential profit
- $33.61K
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- -$708.5
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $239.67
- Potential payout
- $36.87K
- Potential profit
- $36.63K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.82K
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $450
- Potential payout
- $33.33K
- Potential profit
- $32.88K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $32.03K
- Potential payout
- $32.2K
- Potential profit
- $177.12
- User PnL
- $9.81K
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $2.56K
- Potential payout
- $31.02K
- Potential profit
- $28.47K
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- $620.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.62K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.93K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27K
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.97K
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.42K
No position
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.13K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.78K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.9K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.36K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.7K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.3K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.01K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.19K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.45K
Yes position
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.38K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.17K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.16K
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.87K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.64K
Yes position
India x Pakistan ceasefire announced before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.33K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.92K
Yes position
Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.27K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.98K
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be 42.0–43.9% on December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.69K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No 63.1% 244 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 0.5% 446.63 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Yes 1.9% 92.03 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 15.7% 16,383.2 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 14.9% 11,844.76 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.7% 699.21 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 2,065 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 6% 785.29 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No 75% 499.62 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 88.4% 1,830.26 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 30.1% 3,043.59 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 72.3% 11,135.69 shares