Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $102.35
- Potential profit
- $100.96
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$8.62
Polymarket Trader
0x68cA164913E33e17b8F4fb9b7Aac008702549d92-1774478131392
0x68ca164913e33e17b8f4fb9b7aac008702549d92
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.51
- Realized PnL
- -$22.43
- Win rate
- 12.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.87
- Potential profit
- $53.87
- User PnL
- -$3.31
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $47.84
- Potential profit
- $36.84
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $3.28
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $27.97
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$6.72
Yes position
Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $3.84
- Potential payout
- $30.99
- Potential profit
- $27.15
- Multiplier
- 8.06x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Multiplier
- 3.87x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
Ends Sep 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.9%
- Multiplier
- 3.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Yes position
Celonis IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$4.64
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 21% 30.34 shares
- Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?Yes 4.9% 33.98 shares
- Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?Yes 16.4% 45.12 shares
- Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Yes 15.1% 52.86 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?Yes 6% 125 shares
- Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 9% 79.31 shares
- Celonis IPO before 2027?Yes 15.4% 34.87 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?Yes 0.7% 124.4 shares
- Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?Yes 5.9% 33.98 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes 9.8% 102.35 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 19% 47.84 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?Yes 8% 125 shares