Yes position
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.92K
- Potential profit
- $3.92K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
thersom
0x68d0d529baf08d1a23cbebd869e09e5e29265757
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.1
- Realized PnL
- $596.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $2.24K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $969.37
- Potential profit
- $969.37
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.95
- Potential profit
- $499.95
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.77
- Potential profit
- $399.77
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $19.44
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $350.93
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $19.48
- Potential payout
- $344.83
- Potential profit
- $325.34
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.26
- Potential profit
- $333.26
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.58
- Potential profit
- $177.58
- User PnL
- -$21.93
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Current value
- $25.17
- Potential payout
- $169.49
- Potential profit
- $144.32
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- $5.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.63
- Potential profit
- $166.63
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.16
- Potential profit
- $149.16
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.43
- Potential profit
- $137.43
- User PnL
- -$35.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.38
- Potential profit
- $91.38
- User PnL
- -$9.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.3
- Potential profit
- $80.3
- User PnL
- -$19.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.78
- Potential profit
- $74.78
- User PnL
- -$19.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.15
- Potential profit
- $67.15
- User PnL
- -$29.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.2
- Potential profit
- $65.2
- User PnL
- -$17.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.71
- Potential profit
- $61.71
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.84
- Potential profit
- $53.84
- User PnL
- -$20.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.29
- Potential profit
- $47.29
- User PnL
- -$9.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $168.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.83
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes 50% 40 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 52% 38.46 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.8% 169.49 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.4% 370.37 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.8% 344.83 shares
- Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 74% 27.03 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks 90% 16.66 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks 30% 16.67 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 64% 31.25 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 89% 101.12 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETDown 5% 93.16 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETDown 94% 12.9 shares