No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $4.08K
- Potential payout
- $4.11K
- Potential profit
- $34.96
- User PnL
- $126.69
Polymarket Trader
aikko
0x68d1b156197fc516c56fc95d325b3716322c3c4d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.23K
- Realized PnL
- $28.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $3.33K
- Potential payout
- $3.48K
- Potential profit
- $151.37
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $209.25
No position
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $9.6
- User PnL
- $280.83
No position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $466.56
- Potential payout
- $480
- Potential profit
- $13.44
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $29.76
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $386
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $14
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $385.5
- Potential payout
- $388.02
- Potential profit
- $2.52
- User PnL
- $68.82
No position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$64
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $65
- User PnL
- -$35.5
No position
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $24.15
- Potential payout
- $24.35
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $3.77
- Potential payout
- $6.23
- Potential profit
- $2.46
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89K
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53K
No position
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
GPT ads by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $719.18
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $528.42
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.65
No position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $483.26
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.45
Yes position
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.65
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.08
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419.15
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.4
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $387.65
No position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.34
Yes position
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.73
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.45
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No 95.7% 727.73 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 98.9% 501.8 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 74.5% 999.99 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No 87% 875.05 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No 88.7% 562.67 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026?No 98.1% 1,843.32 shares
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 12, 2026?No 98.5% 604.56 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Yes 63% 100 shares
- Will next Claude Mythos debut on the Text Arena Leaderboard at 1510+?No 98% 336.6 shares
- Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?No 99% 1,207.69 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No 75% 287.12 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No 68.6% 179.85 shares