Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $4.26
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Polymarket Trader
0x68d7...b1b3
0x68d7847f8696eeabfe512a3113e24beca259b1b3
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $66.3
- Realized PnL
- $99.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.73
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $5.04
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $3.42
- Potential payout
- $8.15
- Potential profit
- $4.73
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.8%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $8.03
- Potential profit
- $1.78
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $6.71
- Potential payout
- $7.18
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $6.57
- Potential profit
- $5.03
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $6.4
- Potential payout
- $6.51
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $2.47
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $3.78
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $4.56
- Potential payout
- $6.13
- Potential profit
- $1.57
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $5.65
- Potential payout
- $6.04
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $3.69
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.16
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $5.55
- Potential payout
- $5.9
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.46
- Potential payout
- $5.9
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $4.59
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $1.92
- Potential payout
- $2.51
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.56
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.81
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.75
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.31
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
Yes position
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
No position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 53% 9.17 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 73.9% 6.13 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes 75% 6.51 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No 68% 2.51 shares
- Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 66% 7.11 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 37% 7 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?Yes 72.2% 6.07 shares
- Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?Yes 36% 7.5 shares
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes 21% 6 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No 28% 6.25 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?No 65% 7.62 shares
- Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?Yes 33.5% 7.1 shares