Yes position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $51
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.95K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $6.52
Polymarket Trader
Deadheadbucky
0x68d9aae9a2bd2524546d6b16a3076f8a3a5600ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.6K
- Realized PnL
- $6.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.98K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$32.5
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $62.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.94K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.98K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $101
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$69
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $80.25
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $38.1
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $31.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $968.5
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $990.5
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $150.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $849.5
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- -$30.5
Yes position
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $34.5
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $965.48
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $138.75
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $611.25
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $71.25
Yes position
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $29.25
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $720.75
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- $8.25
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$77
No position
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $350
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $150
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $249.91
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$130.18
Yes position
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$20.3
Yes position
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$6.5
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $222.5
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $277.49
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $52.5
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $489.59
- Potential profit
- $489.59
- User PnL
- -$137.03
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400.01
- Potential profit
- $400.01
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $268.62
- Potential payout
- $314.17
- Potential profit
- $45.55
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $27.53
No position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed rate cut by June meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $680.22
Yes position
Will Tyler Shough be the third QB taken in the 2025 NFL Draft?
Ends Apr 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $663.8
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $544.9
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.89
No position
Will DOGE cut $3B of DEI contracts before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $338.21
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.91
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.38
Yes position
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.65
No position
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.97
No position
Will Trump create External Revenue Service in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.51
No position
Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.08
Seahawks position
Rams vs. Seahawks
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.5
Yes position
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.01
Yes position
Will the Denver Broncos win the AFC West?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.79
No position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.89
South Florida position
South Florida vs. Florida
Ends Sep 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.28
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in April?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.65
Yes position
Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.4
Florida State position
Alabama vs. Florida State
Ends Sep 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138
Yes position
Will the US add between 100k and 149k jobs in May?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136
No position
Will 3+ Trump cabinet picks fail to get appointed?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $133.21
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 34% 499.99 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1% 5,000 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.4% 5,000 shares
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 5,000 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.3% 1,500 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.5% 1,999.99 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?No 83.7% 92.2 shares
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes 2.7% 1,451.09 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?No 72% 58.4 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?No 86% 100 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?No 91% 104.99 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?No 6% 134.48 shares