Polymarket Trader

crackrock

0x68db2524f6e058377d791d4e3147bf5a94e5e12b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $931.36
Realized PnL: $55.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.34K
Potential profit: $38.34K
User PnL: -$1.2K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.6K
Potential profit: $26.6K
User PnL: -$3.82K

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$180

Yes position

Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$799.98

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33K
Potential profit: $13.33K
User PnL: -$1.07K

Yes position

Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.74K
Potential profit: $9.74K
User PnL: -$780.3

Rams position

Rams vs. Falcons

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.57K
Potential profit: $8.57K
User PnL: -$4.88K

Yes position

Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.4K
Potential profit: $7.4K
User PnL: -$576.74

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.99K
Potential profit: $5.99K
User PnL: -$2.43K

Yes position

Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$304.99

Rams position

Spread: Rams (-7.5)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.45K
Potential profit: $4.45K
User PnL: -$803.66

Chargers position

Texans vs. Chargers

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.1K
Potential profit: $4.1K
User PnL: -$1.12K

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.06K
Potential profit: $4.06K
User PnL: -$626.34

Lions position

Lions vs. Vikings

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $3.9K
User PnL: -$2.77K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$809.98

Yes position

Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.86K
User PnL: -$1.03K

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $483.23
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.07K
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: -$728.27

Bills position

Spread: Broncos (-1.5)

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $2.33K
User PnL: -$1.16K

OpenAI position

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $385
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $1.82K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$167

Yes position

Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $43.39
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $2.02K
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$56.39

Lakers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$541.5

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $19.75
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $1.86K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$318.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.08K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53K

Yes position

Will the Chicago Bears win the NFC North?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39K

Bears position

Giants vs. Bears

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9K

Jaguars position

Chiefs vs. Jaguars

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9K

Texans position

Bills vs. Texans

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4K

Bears position

Spread: Packers (-7.5)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38K

Packers position

Packers vs. Lions

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37K

Ravens position

Ravens vs. Browns

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34K

Yes position

Will Powell say "Dissent" during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31K

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95K

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Bills

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86K

Yes position

Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8K

Yes position

Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

Giants position

Eagles vs. Giants

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Ravens

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

Saints position

Panthers vs. Saints

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 7?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yankees position

Blue Jays vs. Yankees

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Panthers position

Panthers vs. Falcons

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 11.6% 3,802.11 shares
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027

Yes 14% 786.77 shares
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 1.6% 561.08 shares
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 1% 1,575.06 shares
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

No 99.6% 25 shares
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers

Chicago Cubs 54% 999.99 shares
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

Tampa Bay Rays 43% 1,000 shares
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in April?

Yes 1.2% 11.09 shares
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?

Yes 5.5% 621.88 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 19% 1,500 shares
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5

Over 5.5 28% 40 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 44.5% 1,000 shares