Polymarket Trader

0x68e5...73c0

0x68e5b71ce9f20c60960e1b63a0f55242078a73c0

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $27.2
Realized PnL: $41.59
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.14
Potential profit: $24.14
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15.63
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.64
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.31
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 50.3%
Multiplier: 1.99x
User PnL: $22.89

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

No position

Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

No position

Will Hong Kong have less than 150mm of precipitation in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

Yes position

Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will EA say "Acquisition" during earnings call?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have between 170-180mm of precipitation in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Warriors position

Spread: Spurs (-7.5)

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$4.23

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Antoine Semenyo sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 8?

Yes 43.9% 93.48 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 8?

Yes 19.4% 93.48 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 64% 15.63 shares
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?

Yes 28% 7.14 shares
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 47% 10.64 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs 99.9% 5.12 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs 39% 5.13 shares
Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?

Yes 25.2% 27 shares
Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?

No 95% 35.3 shares
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Yes 95% 7.57 shares
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?

Yes 54% 28.3 shares