Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$25
Polymarket Trader
JL2025
0x68f25889dc303e81497bc97d2bfa06764c66f7da
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.7K
- Realized PnL
- $39.94
- Win rate
- 56.3%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $109.01
- Potential payout
- $581.4
- Potential profit
- $472.38
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- $59.01
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $512.83
- Potential payout
- $560.47
- Potential profit
- $47.64
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $58.83
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $16.94
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $538.61
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$3.06
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $465.12
- Potential profit
- $465.12
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $87.58
- Potential payout
- $373.47
- Potential profit
- $285.89
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$12.42
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $31.8
- Potential payout
- $316.46
- Potential profit
- $284.65
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$18.2
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.3%
- Current value
- $96.66
- Potential payout
- $290.7
- Potential profit
- $194.04
- Multiplier
- 3.01x
- User PnL
- $46.66
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $18.73
- Potential payout
- $281.7
- Potential profit
- $262.96
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Yes position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $217.63
- Potential payout
- $254.54
- Potential profit
- $36.91
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $17.63
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $161.61
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $16.96
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $61.61
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $140.77
- Potential payout
- $140.85
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $40.77
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $102.98
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $16.07
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.98
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $107.65
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $7.65
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $100.57
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $13.07
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.67
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.29
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.59
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.02
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.99
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
No position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.27
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
Pacers position
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Knicks (To Advance)
Ends Jun 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.24
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.6
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.07
Yes position
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$23.91
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.1% 281.69 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.9% 588.23 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.6% 555.56 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.2% 1,136.36 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.5% 588.24 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 952.38 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.6% 581.4 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 952.38 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.8% 316.46 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.2% 290.7 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No 88% 113.64 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 84% 119.05 shares