Polymarket Trader

stapler0619

0x68ff58113e14daad7037e274e900ff433ba4ec42

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $63.65
Realized PnL: -$2.43
Win rate: 46.7%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $469.77
Potential profit: $469.77
User PnL: -$9.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.68
Potential profit: $402.68
User PnL: -$15.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $362.82
Potential profit: $362.82
User PnL: -$7.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.67
Potential profit: $259.67
User PnL: -$9.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $6.35
Potential payout: $179.47
Potential profit: $173.12
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $1.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $139.58
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $4.33
Potential payout: $85.79
Potential profit: $81.46
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $79.48
Potential profit: $77.93
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $8.74
Potential payout: $48.53
Potential profit: $39.79
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $4.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $4.67
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $3.73
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $4.36
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.43
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $4.78
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $3.83
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $1.18
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $3.23
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $1.78
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.83

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $4.03
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $4.03
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 59% 2.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 46% 2.2 shares