No position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $30.12
- Potential payout
- $194.34
- Potential profit
- $164.22
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$34.62
Polymarket Trader
intiluha
0x691517b59884bc50774f4b06ba4d26707408a259
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $241.7
- Realized PnL
- $207.25
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $111.02
- Potential payout
- $112.31
- Potential profit
- $1.29
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $11.02
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $100.56
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $10.56
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.91
No position
Ukraine election called in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.75
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
No position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
Yes position
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?No 45% 4.06 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?No 39% 30 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?No 37% 20 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?No 36% 21.32 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?No 35% 8.96 shares
- Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?No 89% 112.31 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 81% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 90% 111.11 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes 97.8% 215.11 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 67% 100 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No 96.2% 110.19 shares
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?No 92% 114.94 shares