Polymarket Trader

ChES

@CarryAlesi60236

0x69330a7148540d58239d67dbd524593287cd0f16

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $97.93
Realized PnL: $5.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $480.14
Potential profit: $480.14
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $388.83
Potential profit: $388.83
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $361.67
Potential profit: $361.67
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $311.11
Potential profit: $311.11
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $271.55
Potential profit: $271.55
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.36
Potential profit: $266.36
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237.36
Potential profit: $237.36
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.7
Potential profit: $220.7
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.09
Potential profit: $196.09
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.1
Potential profit: $177.1
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $152.63
Potential profit: $150.42
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $2.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.44
Potential profit: $150.44
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $95.21
Potential payout: $147.62
Potential profit: $52.4
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $95.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $404.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $327.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $253.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1.9% 52.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 23% 26.09 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 23% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 10% 70 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 7% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 15.2% 98.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 22.3% 98.68 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 23.2% 98.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 21% 47.62 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 2% 102.5 shares