No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.81
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.61
Polymarket Trader
5jhotjsrduga
0x69334c6fc1cdcd49d7a6343e9d2f3efde564e6a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.01
- Realized PnL
- $25.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.6%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $1.86
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $1.83
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.8
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $1.6
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $1.51
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $1.5
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $1.49
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.36
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $1.34
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $1.29
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.24
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Waymo IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $1.21
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $1.21
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $1.21
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or higher on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 52°F or higher on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Édgar Cháirez position
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Luana Santos position
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
FK Bodø/Glimt position
Spread: IK Start (-1.5)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Chelsea Chandler position
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 23?No 61% 1.8 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 98.8% 0.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 23?No 85% 1.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23?No 88% 1.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 23?No 95% 1.16 shares
- Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No 91% 0.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 21?No 87% 1.26 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 1.17 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)Andre Lima 26% 0.05 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)Andre Lima 28% 0.03 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)Andre Lima 29% 0.17 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)Andre Lima 29% 0.22 shares