No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $5.14
- Potential payout
- $5.23
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Polymarket Trader
0x6936...78c9
0x6936464cad1a91e0a20c81cec6dac88e957678c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $51.19
- Realized PnL
- $3.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
DFX Peek position
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs DFX Peek (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group C
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $5.19
- Potential profit
- $4.83
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$4.82
No position
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Current value
- $4.59
- Potential payout
- $5.18
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
No position
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.18
- Potential payout
- $5.18
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.17
- Potential payout
- $5.18
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $5.14
- Potential payout
- $5.18
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5.18
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.18
- Potential payout
- $5.18
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $5.18
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.12
- Potential payout
- $5.13
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.08
- Potential profit
- $5.08
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on November 26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3PM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,600 and $7,700 on May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Jeannette Jara win between 20% and 24% of votes in the first round?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Trump say "Too Big To Rig" this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will no qualifying event occur on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Biagio Simonetti win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Evelyn Matthei win less than 9% of votes in the first round?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 0–5 years in prison?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Apple announce a new product line during the WWDC 2026 keynote?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Jara win by at least 15%?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will another person win the first round?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 4?No 99.7% 5.1 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No 99.4% 5.12 shares
- Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?No 99.8% 5.09 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 98.7% 5.13 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 77m?No 99.9% 5.07 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m?Yes 98% 5.16 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 69m?No 99.2% 5.1 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 65m?No 99.9% 3.94 shares
- Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.9% 5.08 shares
- Will John Fleming drop out?No 99.9% 5.11 shares
- Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $380 on June 24?No 99.9% 5.09 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 98.8% 5.1 shares