Ove22

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $961
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $39
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $64

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73.3%
Current value: $481.68
Potential payout: $657.13
Potential profit: $175.45
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $45.65

No position

Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $580.43
Potential payout: $608.1
Potential profit: $27.67
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $16.02

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $494.25
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $17.12
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $302.88
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR?

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $288.36
Potential payout: $303.7
Potential profit: $15.34
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $6.68

No position

Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR?

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $287.4
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $12.6
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $297.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $2.85
User PnL: $11.05

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $20.78
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $129.23
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$4.58

Yes position

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $12.3
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $137.7
Multiplier: 12.20x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $7.43
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $142.58
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL?

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $99.46
Potential payout: $110.51
Potential profit: $11.05
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $19.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80.65
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$91

Yes position

Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $3.29
Potential payout: $86.47
Potential profit: $83.18
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $73.56
Potential payout: $81.28
Potential profit: $7.72
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $15.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$15.4

Yes position

Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + UDMR?

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $5.73
Potential payout: $13.65
Potential profit: $7.92
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.15

No position

Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + AUR?

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $628.79

Yes position

Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76.9%
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $291.29

No position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.8

No position

Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $274.76

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $237.13

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.51

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.11

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Victor Ponta?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.51

No position

Will George Simion win by over 18%?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.52

No position

Will Victor Ponta advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.93

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.64

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 64.5%
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $81

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.35

No position

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $74.2

No position

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $63.28

Yes position

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Implied probability: 63.6%
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $61.8

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.46

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.07

Alcaraz position

French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.56

No position

Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.5

Yes position

Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be 12m or more?