Yes position
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $101.77
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.47K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$148.2
Polymarket Trader
unfortunate
0x695c1dbc0cf3d4758c8879ea5139c1615d9310a1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.44K
- Realized PnL
- $15.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $668.62
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $655.38
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $345.21
Yes position
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $7.92
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$241.82
No position
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$247.83
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $943.91
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $60.25
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $694.04
No position
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $827.45
- Potential payout
- $877
- Potential profit
- $49.55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $577.9
No position
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $640.5
- Potential payout
- $854
- Potential profit
- $213.5
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $424.73
No position
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $92.63
- Potential payout
- $802
- Potential profit
- $709.37
- Multiplier
- 8.66x
- User PnL
- -$23.39
Yes position
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $18.66
- Potential payout
- $666.57
- Potential profit
- $647.91
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$127.52
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $220.82
- Potential payout
- $630.92
- Potential profit
- $410.1
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $74.46
No position
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $566.75
- Potential profit
- $566.75
- User PnL
- -$152.77
Yes position
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $69.48
- Potential payout
- $555.88
- Potential profit
- $486.39
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$70.35
No position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $299.42
- Potential payout
- $434
- Potential profit
- $134.58
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $164.71
No position
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $355.32
- Potential payout
- $423
- Potential profit
- $67.68
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $206.17
Yes position
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $12.3
- Potential payout
- $410
- Potential profit
- $397.7
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$54.74
No position
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Current value
- $91.94
- Potential payout
- $405
- Potential profit
- $313.07
- Multiplier
- 4.41x
- User PnL
- $10.94
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $325
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $59.62
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $206.65
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $26.39
- Potential payout
- $377
- Potential profit
- $350.61
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$69.07
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $367.51
- Potential profit
- $367.51
- User PnL
- -$98.55
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $172.9
- Potential payout
- $364
- Potential profit
- $191.1
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $63.44
Yes position
Blue wave in 2026?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $237.98
- Potential payout
- $326
- Potential profit
- $88.02
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $127.36
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $321
- Potential profit
- $321
- User PnL
- -$115.56
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $66.15
- Potential payout
- $315
- Potential profit
- $248.85
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $4.85
No position
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $259.23
- Potential payout
- $299.69
- Potential profit
- $40.46
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $175.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $930.41
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $862.85
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $832.74
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $821.64
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $806.02
Yes position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $737.44
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $707.42
No position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $628.33
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $606.19
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $568.43
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $503.15
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $483.38
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $477.77
No position
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.05
No position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $462.65
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $460.12
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $455.37
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $449.39
No position
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $444.87
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.57
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $421.98
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $421.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 22.4% 915 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 88.1% 74 shares
- Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?Yes 18.4% 367 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by May 31?No 40% 252 shares
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?No 26.1% 192.41 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 23.5% 658 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 24.2% 1,344 shares
- Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?No 3.2% 414.99 shares
- Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?No 4% 500 shares
- U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?No 37% 158 shares
- Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?No 9% 71.36 shares
- Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?No 18.8% 60 shares