Polymarket Trader

rscfo

0x696d665903d1e9bdde1570fc1917b26f0f43be14

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.59
Realized PnL: $361.11
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $6.82
Potential payout: $50.5
Potential profit: $43.68
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$3.18

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $23.06
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $11.44
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $10.78
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.7
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $7.15
Potential payout: $17.65
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $4.15

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.32
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $10.71
Potential profit: $10.69
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.05
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $3.96
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $4.38
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $4.4
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.11
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $4.84
Potential profit: $4.06
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will Bruno Fernandes score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $3.25
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $1.43
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Epstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.26

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.33

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.1

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.81

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.24

Yes position

US strike on Syria by December 31?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.75

Yes position

Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

Yes position

Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-13?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.38

Yes position

Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.04

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Yes position

Kristi Noem out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.48

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.88

Yes position

Will Virgil van Dijk score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: January

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.13

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.18

Yes position

Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yes 54% 8.33 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 54% 22.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Up 41% 2.44 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Yes 7% 11.11 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Down 70% 1.43 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 19.8% 50.5 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 84% 35.71 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 70% 4.29 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.1% 24.39 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Yes 17.6% 11.36 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 16% 15.18 shares