Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $7.69
- Potential payout
- $15.39K
- Potential profit
- $15.38K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$192.31
Polymarket Trader
0x696F3CC2306aE4a4cf37A707D88aAec55510D8b9-1769135448643
0x696f3cc2306ae4a4cf37a707d88aaec55510d8b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $129.88
- Realized PnL
- $2.19K
- Win rate
- 29.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $110.32
- Potential payout
- $8.83K
- Potential profit
- $8.72K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$64.53
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $11.11
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.43K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$388.85
Yes position
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500.59
- Potential profit
- $499.84
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$44.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $940
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $727.29
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $251.85
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $109.81
Yes position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.19
Yes position
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.55
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.14
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.88
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Venezuela" during meetings with Orbán?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.52
St. Louis Cardinals position
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.14
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.32
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.58
Yes position
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32.32
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36.71
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.62
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 9% 4,444 shares
- Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by May 31?Yes 1.8% 18.82 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 3% 521.65 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?No 3.6% 500 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes 13.8% 3,642.93 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 48% 625 shares
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes 1.7% 1,246.36 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?Yes 1.9% 1,932 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 4.8% 25 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes 3.2% 44.4 shares
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves 13% 2,307.69 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.9% 45.23 shares