Polymarket Trader

lfgcrypto121

@adamhlayl455

0x69855127928e787e91e0d1f44bba6ccb312aafdf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.61
Realized PnL: $4.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $794.59
Potential profit: $794.59
User PnL: -$0.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $519.22
Potential profit: $519.22
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218
Potential profit: $218
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.08
Potential profit: $196.08
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.13
Potential profit: $118.13
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.04
Potential profit: $98.04
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.27
Potential profit: $97.27
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.98
Potential profit: $96.98
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.81
Potential profit: $86.81
User PnL: -$16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.34
Potential profit: $85.34
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $15.46
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $67.88
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $5.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.84
Potential profit: $69.84
User PnL: -$12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.78
Potential profit: $67.78
User PnL: -$11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $60.61
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $60.61
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $8.15
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $50.68
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.85

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.78
Potential profit: $48.78
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.11
Potential profit: $41.11
User PnL: -$16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $716.97

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 end of January?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $587.19

Harry Wendelken position

Wuning: Harry Wendelken vs Li Tu

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $503.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.24

Tennessee State Tigers position

Tennessee State Tigers vs. Lindenwood Lions

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.11

Flavio Cobolli position

BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Flavio Cobolli

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.35

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.38

Kings position

Kings vs. Grizzlies

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.93

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.38

No position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.89

No position

Will Meta reach $730 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.88

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.23

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.98

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.36

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $96.5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.6

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.5% 86.2 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 61.5% 16.26 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

No 51.6% 38.76 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?

Up 86% 270.86 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?

Up 36.9% 40.68 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?

Up 50.7% 39.41 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?

Up 70% 28.57 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?

Up 68% 147.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Down 33% 60.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Down 24% 41.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Down 25% 40 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Up 4% 25 shares