Polymarket Trader

0x69888Ed20fa86fcb6AC9Ad36e3CbBE1Ac684e872-1773154939316

0x69888ed20fa86fcb6ac9ad36e3cbbe1ac684e872

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $115.04
Realized PnL: $192.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$10

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $10.49
Potential payout: $455.97
Potential profit: $445.48
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$9.51

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.54
Potential profit: $250.54
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.73
Potential profit: $230.73
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Nobody 2" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.27
Potential profit: $218.27
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $31.77
Potential payout: $173.15
Potential profit: $141.38
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: -$3.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.92
Potential profit: $124.92
User PnL: -$6.01

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $36.62
Potential payout: $111.83
Potential profit: $75.2
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $10.62

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Ends Aug 13, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $7.79
Potential payout: $91.67
Potential profit: $83.88
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$2.21

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.07
Potential profit: $55.07
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.89
Potential profit: $54.89
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.7
Potential profit: $53.7
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $10.21
Potential payout: $51.43
Potential profit: $41.22
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.75
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $9.29
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $38.33
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.54
Potential profit: $47.54
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $4.62
Potential payout: $44.64
Potential profit: $40.02
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.51
Potential profit: $41.51
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.72

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.43

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.32

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94

Knicks position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

Up position

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Up 85% 7.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Up 65% 7.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Up 5% 19.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Up 25.9% 19.31 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?

Yes 29% 17.24 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 24% 20.83 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Yes 21% 23.81 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Yes 10% 50 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?

65.8% 37.63 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 77% 2.6 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?

Yes 45% 11.11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 1?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares