Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $180.94
- Potential payout
- $120.63K
- Potential profit
- $120.45K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$432.69
Polymarket Trader
0x6992D56559Dd30b5B5D0F5cA3D5427F9e94e6c1d-1760272837095
0x6992d56559dd30b5b5d0f5ca3d5427f9e94e6c1d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.52K
- Realized PnL
- $47.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $168.39
- Potential payout
- $67.35K
- Potential profit
- $67.19K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$414.09
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $2.27K
- Potential payout
- $17.5K
- Potential profit
- $15.22K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$182.98
No position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.8K
- Potential profit
- $15.8K
- User PnL
- -$690.1
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $699.42
- Potential payout
- $12.27K
- Potential profit
- $11.57K
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- -$62.31
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.71K
- Potential profit
- $9.71K
- User PnL
- -$3.3K
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $8.9K
- Potential profit
- $7.74K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$3.32K
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $331.41
- Potential payout
- $8.72K
- Potential profit
- $8.39K
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$748.87
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $504.66
- Potential payout
- $6.73K
- Potential profit
- $6.22K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$549.91
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $648.01
- Potential payout
- $4.8K
- Potential profit
- $4.15K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$661.59
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $711.97
- Potential payout
- $4.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.62K
- Multiplier
- 6.08x
- User PnL
- -$664.69
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.2K
- Potential profit
- $4.2K
- User PnL
- -$208
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $540
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.46K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$340
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $83.54
- Potential payout
- $3.71K
- Potential profit
- $3.63K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$854.93
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$654
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$102
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$462
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $107.15
- Potential payout
- $2.19K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- $72.16
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $16.8
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$39.74
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $1.86K
- Potential profit
- $418.65
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $50.78
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$400.64
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$330
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $803.31
- Potential profit
- $802.91
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.81
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $603.75
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $146.25
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $378.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.94K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32K
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23K
Yes position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $977.97
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $962
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $860.9
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $845.19
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $728
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $692.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 38% 584 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 16.4% 8.22 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 31.6% 3,721.33 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Yes 37.2% 750 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 27.9% 2,500 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 51% 57.33 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 15% 1,600 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 15% 5,000 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 0.5% 2,812.46 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Yes 8.6% 7,944.92 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 8.8% 21,073.03 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 12% 22,031.72 shares