Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $417.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $102.5
Polymarket Trader
Charismeh
0x69a3420c8cbf61aa7d22e6c168f8b4ae786b4af7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.6K
- Realized PnL
- $2.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $83.99
- Potential payout
- $453.99
- Potential profit
- $370
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $15.31
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $374
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $26
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $46
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $358
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $42
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $109.38
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $133
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $67
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $19
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 60.7%
- Current value
- $91.05
- Potential payout
- $149.99
- Potential profit
- $58.95
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $4.05
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $93.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $9.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $52.74
- Potential payout
- $85.75
- Potential profit
- $33.01
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $1.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560.76
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.85
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.84
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $174.47
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.8
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $155.37
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.51
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $136.97
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.68
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.21
No position
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.1
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.69
No position
US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.68
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.04
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.28
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.96
No position
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.98
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.42
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.6
No position
US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.14
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8
No position
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 60% 15.75 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 60% 70 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MayNothing 93% 52.69 shares
- Bank of England rate hike in 2026?No 30% 186.01 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No 58.9% 378.2 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No 60% 111.77 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.7% 142.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.9% 120 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 84% 100 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 57% 200 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No 55% 60 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No 54.1% 60 shares