No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.98
- Potential payout
- $6.46
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Polymarket Trader
0x69a79Df068F80C11F83F7118A9609a20d8fb38Db-1761623715219
0x69a79df068f80c11f83f7118a9609a20d8fb38db
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.15
- Realized PnL
- $9.71
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.28
- Potential profit
- $4.28
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $2.07
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 90% 4.5 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 93% 3.23 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?No 99.2% 5.04 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 99.5% 2.08 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?Yes 22% 4.54 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 95.7% 2.09 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 89% 3.37 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 97.9% 5.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 88% 1.14 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?Yes 22% 4.55 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?No 94% 2.13 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?No 93% 2.15 shares