Polymarket Trader

0x69b3b4D53b702D75C6827a1d7a33663B5eB214F8-1770892424500

0x69b3b4d53b702d75c6827a1d7a33663b5eb214f8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.41K
Realized PnL: $429.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $2.02K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $528.9
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $384.61
Potential profit: $384.42
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.96

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Qatar send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.77
Potential profit: $277.77
User PnL: -$8.75

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.41
Potential profit: $256.41
User PnL: -$7.58

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $248.76
Potential profit: $248.76
User PnL: -$7.25

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $243.58
Potential profit: $240.66
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$4.73

Yes position

SAVE Act becomes law by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.3
Potential profit: $192.3
User PnL: -$3.08

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $168.83
Potential profit: $168.49
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.57
Potential profit: $131.57
User PnL: -$4.15

Yes position

SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.51
Potential payout: $131.57
Potential profit: $130.06
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$2.17

Yes position

Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.98
Potential profit: $87.98
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.71
Potential profit: $87.71
User PnL: -$4.12

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.15
Potential profit: $75.15
User PnL: -$9.57

Yes position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.46
Potential profit: $72.46
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.1
Potential profit: $64.1
User PnL: -$3.91

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.29
Potential profit: $63.29
User PnL: -$4.37

Yes position

Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.47
Potential profit: $57.47
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Will Oman send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.55
Potential profit: $55.55
User PnL: -$4.44

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $13.28
Potential payout: $53.13
Potential profit: $39.85
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$6.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210

Yes position

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $78.89

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.38

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.77

No position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.01

No position

Will Powell say "Successor" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.55

Yes position

Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.42

Yes position

Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.31

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81

No position

Will Powell say "No Comment" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.94

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 30 and June 5?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 61% 7.81 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 2.7% 135.13 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 40% 11.9 shares
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Yes 79.6% 6.27 shares
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?

Yes 47% 8.47 shares
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?

No 93% 5.31 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Yes 32% 15.15 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 5.6% 76.92 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Yes 19.1% 24.87 shares
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?

No 99.9% 5 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?

No 97.9% 10.1 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

No 97.1% 10.16 shares