Polymarket Trader

0xloren

@Kaleo0x

0x69bc24c9de2a28bc60ade389b6d66c785c71577d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.5
Realized PnL: $48.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.64K
Potential profit: $5.64K
User PnL: -$1.6K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.94K
Potential profit: $3.94K
User PnL: -$699.99

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $124k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $3.63K
User PnL: -$749.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.27K
Potential profit: $3.27K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $2.35K
User PnL: -$1.15K

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $2.29K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.06K
User PnL: -$599.99

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$400.85

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$115

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$21

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$470.22

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 24?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $968.29
Potential profit: $968.29
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $918.02
Potential profit: $918.02
User PnL: -$80

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $40.5
Potential payout: $899.96
Potential profit: $859.47
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$92.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $853.33
Potential profit: $853.33
User PnL: -$66

Yes position

Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $842.47
Potential profit: $842.47
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $820.24
Potential profit: $820.24
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $811.45
Potential profit: $811.45
User PnL: -$320

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $752.62
Potential profit: $752.62
User PnL: -$7

Top Esports position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $657.03
Potential profit: $657.03
User PnL: -$200

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Ethereum hit $4,200.00 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09K

No position

Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79K

No position

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33K

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91K

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62K

No position

Will Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57K

No position

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53K

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

No position

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Will Trump and Harris debate before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $909.63

No position

Will Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $894.13

Yes position

1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $890.63

Yes position

Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $829.17

No position

Trump fires campaign manager?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $769.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

No 98.8% 20.24 shares
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?

Yes 30% 66.67 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.6% 32.05 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 217.39 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 83.33 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 52% 57.69 shares
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 8?

No 79% 12.66 shares
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 8?

No 79% 25.32 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

No 95.5% 20.94 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 52% 38.46 shares
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?

No 60% 227.27 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 31.5% 158.55 shares