Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90.5
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Polymarket Trader
0x69bc...e4e1
0x69bc836d7922a5f480a1f01e1573213b46b0e4e1
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $47.56
- Realized PnL
- $30.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $8.01
- Potential payout
- $78.1
- Potential profit
- $70.09
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $56.85
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $42.08
- Potential profit
- $37.45
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $19.74
- Potential profit
- $15.66
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- $1.08
Y
Yes position
Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $7.2
- Potential payout
- $15.17
- Potential profit
- $7.97
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $6.2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.44
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.09
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Y
Yes position
Will Trump post "Soccer" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $2.61
- Potential payout
- $5.5
- Potential profit
- $2.89
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $3.08
- Potential payout
- $5.36
- Potential profit
- $2.28
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $1.37
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Y
Yes position
Will Trump post "Football" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.68
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Down position
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Down position
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Up position
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 58% 3.36 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 58% 2 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Yes 11.9% 42.08 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?Yes 16% 6.25 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?Yes 9% 11.11 shares
- Will Trump post "Soccer" on Truth Social this week?Yes 18.2% 5.5 shares
- Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?Yes 6.6% 15.17 shares
- Will Trump post "Football" on Truth Social this week?Yes 95% 1.05 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETUp 91% 2.2 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETUp 98.2% 1.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETUp 56% 1.79 shares