Caioba01

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $7.6
Potential payout: $608.16
Potential profit: $600.56
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$18.4

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $34.78
Potential payout: $496.82
Potential profit: $462.04
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$15.22

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $395.04
Potential profit: $394.45
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$14.41

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $7.28
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $210.11
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $2.28

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $19.56
Potential payout: $205.88
Potential profit: $186.33
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$15.44

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $190.09
Potential profit: $189.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$13.7

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 77.4%
Current value: $127.62
Potential payout: $164.99
Potential profit: $37.37
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$18.65

Yes position

Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $6.41
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $111.24
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Harris English win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $3.06
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $108.06
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.54
Potential profit: $91.54
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.02
Potential profit: $91.02
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $89.91
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.06
Potential profit: $66.06
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $51.55
Potential payout: $58.35
Potential profit: $6.8
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $57.11
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.97

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$1

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $22.83
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $17.83

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.72
Potential profit: $30.72
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $27.72
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$3.31

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $21.43
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $46.37

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19

Bears position

Packers vs. Bears

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.85

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.85

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $4.62

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $4.16

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61

Yes position

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET