Yes position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.46
- Multiplier
- 19.65x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Polymarket Trader
0x69c4...c62d
0x69c4733e3309fd90cf8b29d6d84302a9cd46c62d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $104.5
- Realized PnL
- $4.65
- Win rate
- 53.8%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.2
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$23.2
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $48.2
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $23.2
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $13.43
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.57
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $12.46
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $11.7
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $7.83
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.9%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $5.85
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.1%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.65
- Multiplier
- 3.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
No position
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.45
Yes position
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$8.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 88% 14 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No 97.4% 6 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 91% 5 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 96.3% 7 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 14% 10 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 90% 9 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 90% 6 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 16% 9 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 85% 8 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 16% 9 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 95% 10 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 46.4% 7 shares