No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.72K
- Potential profit
- $33.72K
- User PnL
- -$227.87
Polymarket Trader
Akvyr
0x69c96d22e1be6f6cd9fa32bb45f5fd5b7b423b29
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.98K
- Realized PnL
- $16.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.43K
- Potential profit
- $18.43K
- User PnL
- -$1.97K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $624.89
- Potential payout
- $8.75K
- Potential profit
- $8.13K
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- $19.49
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $2.47K
- Potential payout
- $4.62K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.09K
Yes position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $295.92
- Potential payout
- $4.55K
- Potential profit
- $4.26K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$899.38
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $3.23K
- Potential payout
- $3.82K
- Potential profit
- $592.21
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $30.83
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $237.28
- Potential payout
- $2.62K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.58K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- User PnL
- -$226.99
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $813.99
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $82.08
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $631.25
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $711.83
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$401.75
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $79.83
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- -$10.16
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $962.71
- Potential payout
- $963.19
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- User PnL
- $112.71
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.84
- Potential profit
- $909.84
- User PnL
- -$270
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.1
- Potential profit
- $833.1
- User PnL
- -$167
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $326.73
- Potential payout
- $768.77
- Potential profit
- $442.04
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$133.27
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $611.54
- Potential payout
- $698.91
- Potential profit
- $87.36
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $11.54
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $689.58
- Potential profit
- $689.58
- User PnL
- -$550
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $659.3
- Potential profit
- $659.3
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $192.28
- Potential payout
- $610.4
- Potential profit
- $418.12
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$102.73
No position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $576.49
- Potential profit
- $576.49
- User PnL
- -$532
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $127.29
- Potential payout
- $519.57
- Potential profit
- $392.27
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$72.71
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $372.21
- Potential payout
- $455.3
- Potential profit
- $83.09
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $42.21
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $437.77
- Potential profit
- $437.77
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $437.5
- Potential profit
- $437.5
- User PnL
- -$35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $766.59
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $674.23
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $632.66
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Multiplier
- 9.80x
- User PnL
- $493.72
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $492.86
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.06
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.1
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.96
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $374.49
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.38
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.21
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.25
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 90 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.75
Yes position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.32
Yes position
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.65
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $238.5
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.26
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.69
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 30% 33.33 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 46% 43.48 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 42% 71.43 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 50% 200 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes 7% 428.57 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 43% 46.51 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes 96% 285 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 68% 73.53 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 63.8% 62.65 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.1% 15,000 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 35% 57.14 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes 74.6% 159.06 shares