Polymarket Trader

0x69CFB17487486Cdf97556Cd2e5EE4344cd206818-1769246348746

@shushanjian

0x69cfb17487486cdf97556cd2e5ee4344cd206818

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $65.79
Realized PnL: -$0.15
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $22.65
Potential payout: $22.71
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $15.65

No position

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $17.35
Potential payout: $17.36
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $11.28
Potential payout: $11.44
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 8.8%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.12
Multiplier: 11.36x
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $2.03
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37
Potential profit: $1.37
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $1.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?

No 97.9% 16.34 shares
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%?

No 99.9% 1 shares
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?

No 98% 1.02 shares
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?

Yes 33.1% 6.04 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

No 97.5% 1.03 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 82% 1.22 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.2% 1.01 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?

No 99.9% 1 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?

No 99.9% 1 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

No 96% 10.42 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

No 99.2% 1.01 shares