Polymarket Trader

saik360

0x69d1dc32b2a1d9ec677b9bfa34b8ce3ec26db1b9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.92K
Realized PnL: $6.5K
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.6K
Potential profit: $10.6K
User PnL: -$499.99

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.49K
Potential profit: $9.49K
User PnL: -$749.99

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $829.55
Potential payout: $8.73K
Potential profit: $7.9K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$4.17K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.43K
Potential profit: $6.43K
User PnL: -$1.5K

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.07K
Potential profit: $6.07K
User PnL: -$1.1K

No position

Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.35K
Potential profit: $5.35K
User PnL: -$503.65

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $222.85
Potential payout: $5.01K
Potential profit: $4.79K
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$777.14

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.34K
Potential profit: $4.34K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $4.34K
Potential profit: $3.32K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $517.24

Yes position

Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $3.75K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $237.24
Potential payout: $3.51K
Potential profit: $3.28K
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$262.76

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.54K
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.54K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $2.27K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$998.86

Yes position

Will the US strike another country first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$331.04

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.75K
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $751.46

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $815.79

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $698.18
Potential profit: $698.18
User PnL: -$275.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $618.14

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $359.43

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.56

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.81

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$82.57

Yes position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$497.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Yes 39.3% 2,542.35 shares
Iran Nuke before 2027?

Yes 14.2% 3,514.65 shares
US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 57.1% 1,751.46 shares
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Yes 4.7% 10,597.38 shares
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Yes 6.7% 3,754.08 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Yes 62.3% 667.38 shares
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?

Yes 4.6% 2,178.51 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Yes 74.7% 667.39 shares
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?

Yes 22% 2,273.36 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Yes 15.8% 3,159.68 shares
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?

Yes 30.9% 1,616.76 shares
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?

No 13% 19.62 shares