Polymarket Trader

0x69d7617B00DAfC2f6f6Ab5577CEE246331E0c25C-1773164568814

0x69d7617b00dafc2f6f6ab5577cee246331e0c25c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $187.88
Realized PnL: $645.54
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $34.26
Potential payout: $96.5
Potential profit: $62.24
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $14.26

Yes position

Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $43.21
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $28.21
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$6.79

Yes position

Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $40.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $9.75
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $31.31
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $6.19
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.31

No position

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $10.83
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $22.5
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $5.83

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $29.76
Potential profit: $27.67
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$2.9

Argentina position

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 46.1%
Current value: $11.97
Potential payout: $25.95
Potential profit: $13.98
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 31.6%
Current value: $7.14
Potential payout: $22.58
Potential profit: $15.44
Multiplier: 3.16x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $4.98
Potential payout: $14.02
Potential profit: $9.05
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $9.28
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.75

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.45

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.56

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.51

Paraguay position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.72

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.02

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.49

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.08

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.07

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.88

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.86

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.17

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.04

Cleveland Guardians position

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.98

Los Angeles Sparks position

Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.71

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.56

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.68

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Lincoln: Masamichi Imamura vs James McCabe

Masamichi Imamura 19.5% 10.26 shares
Lincoln: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Moez Echargui

Dhakshineswar Suresh 43.9% 6.83 shares
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

Guara Esports 25% 12 shares
Lincoln: Evan Zhu vs Yunchaokete Bu

Evan Zhu 19% 10.53 shares
Lincoln: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Moez Echargui

Dhakshineswar Suresh 33% 6.06 shares
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Argentina 46.2% 25.95 shares
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Misa Esports 68% 58.82 shares
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs Liam Broady

Liam Broady 47.4% 10.55 shares
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream

Atlanta Dream 76% 32.89 shares
Pozoblanco: Akira Santillan vs Alejandro Lopez

Alejandro Lopez 2.7% 74.29 shares
Pozoblanco: Paul Inchauspe vs Hamish Stewart

Hamish Stewart 69.8% 28.66 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Yes 31% 22.58 shares