Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.9%
- Current value
- $19.28
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $43.22
- Multiplier
- 3.24x
- User PnL
- $14.28
Polymarket Trader
0x69d8...3a05
0x69d847c9eec7c54fd397289ed3351c2d0fda3a05
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $74.31
- Realized PnL
- -$1.89
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $37.08
- Potential payout
- $38.15
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $17.74
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $5.29
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $13.94
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Y
Yes position
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Ends Jul 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $7.6
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $2.6
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $5.35
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $1.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?Yes 52% 8.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?Yes 51% 9.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?Yes 50% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?Yes 50% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?Yes 88% 5.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?Yes 57% 8.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?Yes 79.8% 6.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?Yes 79% 6.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?Yes 79% 6.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?Yes 80% 6.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?Yes 78% 6.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?Yes 47% 13.51 shares