Yes position
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.1%
- Current value
- $6.04
- Potential payout
- $10.24
- Potential profit
- $4.19
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Polymarket Trader
0x69fe...33ca
0x69fe5a2b9b7e0e98aa1592cd6ee92eb2e43133ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $6.04
- Realized PnL
- $281.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.33
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.31
Tundra Esports position
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.56
No position
Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76
Team Spirit position
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76
Aurora position
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerAurora 41% 11.49 shares
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora 40% 11.49 shares
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsTundra Esports 25% 14.08 shares