No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.71
Polymarket Trader
patty86reilly
0x6a13b2aa47569534d365550e874fb3fe1c640edc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $9.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 9–16?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Nikita Kucherov win the Hart Trophy?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Mar 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Trump say "bigly" by March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 4-10?
Ends Mar 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
TikTok sale announced before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Tim Stokely buy TikTok before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 9–16?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 4.6% 96 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 32% 25 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89.9% 51 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89.9% 51 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 96.4% 11 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 18% 39 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 25% 74 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 7% 90 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.5% 26 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes 11.5% 14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 15% 39 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 13% 39 shares