Polymarket Trader

BANDAMAN2811

0x6a148f4f4cdda54f22ae3bceb2bd71e5bbd8ad9e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.78
Realized PnL: $4.62
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.05
Potential profit: $77.05
User PnL: -$37.8

No position

Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $12.86
Potential payout: $27.36
Potential profit: $14.5
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $8.57
Potential profit: $2.57
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.57
Potential profit: $8.57
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

FDA approves Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $3.8
Potential profit: $0.87
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3
Potential profit: $2.3
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $2.13
User PnL: -$1

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $1.45
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "John Lithgow" win Best Leading Actor in a Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

FDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.05

Over position

France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will "Liberation" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will "Ragtime" win Best Revival of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will "Schmigadoon!" win Best Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will "Schmigadoon!" win Best Book of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

FDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will "Fiona Apple" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Boston Red Sox position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$0.03

Tampa Bay Rays position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Cats: The Jellicle Ball" win Best Revival of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5

Over 99.9% 1.47 shares
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5

Over 68% 1.47 shares
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Yes 99% 1.38 shares
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Yes 72% 1.39 shares
FDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream?

Yes 86% 7.03 shares
FDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?

Yes 92% 1.11 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 88.1% 1.18 shares
Will Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?

Yes 90% 2.15 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 37% 16.22 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 33% 18.18 shares
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?

No 38% 2.63 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 55% 1.82 shares