Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $16.93
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Polymarket Trader
tresholder
0x6a14eb60a9d907e94e2e58b55884696ee7f86cc5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.11
- Realized PnL
- $154.27
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $5.29
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $13.94
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $12.66
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $3.88
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $8.63
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $1.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $10.06
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.98
- Potential profit
- $10.98
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.98
- Potential profit
- $10.98
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.98
- Potential profit
- $10.98
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.88
- Potential profit
- $10.88
- User PnL
- -$6.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.86
- Potential profit
- $10.86
- User PnL
- -$6.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.82
- Potential profit
- $10.82
- User PnL
- -$6.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.67
- Potential profit
- $10.67
- User PnL
- -$6.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.12
- Potential profit
- $10.12
- User PnL
- -$7.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $2.67
- Potential payout
- $9.52
- Potential profit
- $6.86
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $5.23
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $3.86
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $8.4
- Potential profit
- $6.09
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $8.06
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $1.96
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $5.73
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $7.41
- Potential profit
- $4.78
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.32
- Potential profit
- $7.32
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $2.38
- Potential payout
- $6.9
- Potential profit
- $4.52
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $4.93
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $4.1
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $6.58
- User PnL
- -$3.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.58
Senators position
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
Stefan Dostanic position
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Stefan Dostanic
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
Ignacio Buse position
Barcelona Open: Ignacio Buse vs Corentin Moutet
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.84
Justin Boulais position
Wuning 2: Justin Boulais vs Philip Sekulic
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 2?Yes 3% 8.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 2?Yes 37% 5.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 2?Yes 26% 7.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 2?Yes 30% 6.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 2?No 57% 3.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 2?Yes 23.8% 8.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 2?Yes 37.1% 5.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 2?Yes 55% 9.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?Yes 53% 3.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 2?Yes 17% 11.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 2?No 79% 2.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 2?Yes 37% 5.41 shares