Polymarket Trader

Reasonable-Odds

0x6a1afd6f9bafc729de2e9adec6e871a207ec7e23

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.14
Realized PnL: $1.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $8.14
Potential payout: $290.67
Potential profit: $282.53
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$4.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.78
Potential profit: $15.78
User PnL: -$6.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.35
Potential profit: $12.35
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$3.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$3.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.27
Potential profit: $10.27
User PnL: -$4.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.15
Potential profit: $10.15
User PnL: -$4.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$3.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.23
Potential profit: $6.23
User PnL: -$2.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $6.06
User PnL: -$3.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$0.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$0.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$1.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$0.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.12

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.26

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.47

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?

Yes 4.5% 290.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Down 52% 38.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Down 54% 18.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Down 25% 19.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Down 52% 19.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Down 68% 39.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Down 51.2% 39.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Up 87% 22.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Down 57% 35.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Down 70% 28.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Down 80% 25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Down 51% 39.22 shares