No position
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $56.96
- Potential payout
- $59
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Polymarket Trader
thelastmanstanding
0x6a2d9622faa847cc43c7018acee16dc7bf5e9710
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $141
- Realized PnL
- $17.4
- Win rate
- 93.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.2%
- Current value
- $36.96
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $18.04
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$16.83
No position
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $47.08
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.37
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a hurricane form by May 31?No 99.9% 50 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.3% 22.77 shares