Yes position
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$120
Polymarket Trader
BetCapital
0x6a32084443c5ce5bf7ca9ce66c2a0f6fb1fdfd27
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $142.2
- Realized PnL
- -$91.84
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $26.63
- Potential payout
- $213
- Potential profit
- $186.38
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$20.24
No position
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $104
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $56
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $19.2
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.8%
- Current value
- $11.57
- Potential payout
- $53.2
- Potential profit
- $41.63
- Multiplier
- 4.60x
- User PnL
- -$11.73
Yes position
Will Complexity qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.98
- Potential profit
- $44.98
- User PnL
- -$27.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.44
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.14
Yes position
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.48
Yes position
Will Trump say 'Zelenskyy' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.45
Yes position
Will Team Vitality win the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne Tournament?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.56
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
Yes position
Will Trump say 'Canada' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.28
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
Avail airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
No position
OpenSea token market cap (FDV) <$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will MIBR win the 2025 PGL Masters Bucharest?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will another movie gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Avail airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.16
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$58.92
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$108.84
Yes position
Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$176
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 43.8% 53.2 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 22% 213 shares
- Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?No 53% 160 shares
- Will Stable launch a token in 2025?Yes 82% 158.24 shares
- Will MIBR win the 2025 PGL Masters Bucharest?No 99.8% 133 shares
- Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes 48% 250 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No 86% 201.49 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 86% 27 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No 84% 29.42 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No 84% 188.22 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 87% 27 shares
- Will Complexity qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?Yes 61% 44.98 shares