Polymarket Trader

patientman

0x6a3b52524d29abebdae4994741b2f81a5fb6c0e0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.95K
Realized PnL: $546.95
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.21K
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $205.12
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $210.05

No position

Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $1.72K
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $129.42
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $141.89

No position

Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $558.23
Potential payout: $603.5
Potential profit: $45.26
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $359.46
Potential payout: $370.96
Potential profit: $11.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $24.74

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $81.96
Potential payout: $84.76
Potential profit: $2.8
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.68

No position

Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $13.88
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $1.13
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $1.4
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $1.34
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $1.29
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.23

No position

Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.42

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.76

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.37

No position

Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.69

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.12

No position

Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.01

No position

Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.13

No position

Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.3

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.78

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.76

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.05

Yes position

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: $4.93

No position

Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

No position

Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No 90% 450 shares
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?

No 93% 30 shares
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?

No 93% 94.12 shares
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?

No 92% 478.29 shares
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

No 90% 180.86 shares
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

No 83.6% 358.18 shares
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

No 85% 405.51 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?

Yes 89.1% 73.77 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Yes 93% 25 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Yes 92.9% 74 shares
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 60.4% 30.72 shares
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 70% 5 shares