Polymarket Trader

aliceyh

0x6a3b6370e0776141d3efc5b2b3882ebd4a58f5ca

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $37.28
Realized PnL: $14.49
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $5.83
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.78
Potential profit: $5.78
User PnL: -$4.86

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 90.6%
Current value: $3.97
Potential payout: $4.38
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $4.15
Potential payout: $4.18
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $4.14
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.93
Potential profit: $3.93
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $3.86
Potential payout: $3.91
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $3.26
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $3.09
Potential payout: $3.1
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $2.34
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.14

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25
Potential profit: $2.25
User PnL: -$2

No position

Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $2.24
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $1.68
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.96

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Russian strike on Poland by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will XRP dip to $1.00 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Dexscreener be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Ethena reach $0.16 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will MrBeast hit 117 billion views by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on March 13?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

No 92.4% 4.21 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 97.5% 4.82 shares
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?

No 98.6% 5.95 shares
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027

No 83% 5.55 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 97.9% 4.77 shares
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

No 73.7% 6.11 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 74.8% 3.23 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 93.9% 2.34 shares
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

No 97.5% 1.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 25?

Down 86% 2.53 shares
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

No 96.6% 4.14 shares
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?

Yes 93% 2.3 shares