Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.16K
- Potential profit
- $7.16K
- User PnL
- -$194.98
Polymarket Trader
jesse.n533n
0x6a3dfdb561e8ef2a84ea2da044a284765804e38c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $497.71
- Realized PnL
- $906.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $9.43
- Potential payout
- $6.29K
- Potential profit
- $6.28K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$136.13
Yes position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.03K
- Potential profit
- $4.03K
- User PnL
- -$37
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$21.62
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $27.34
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$7.65
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $357.52
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $649.58
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$25.04
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $846.47
- Potential profit
- $846.47
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $53.07
- Potential payout
- $816.43
- Potential profit
- $763.36
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$3.28
Yes position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $604.49
- Potential profit
- $603.58
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$10.09
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $8.55
- Potential payout
- $589.86
- Potential profit
- $581.31
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$106.45
Yes position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $24.17
- Potential payout
- $575.37
- Potential profit
- $551.2
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$13.83
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $560.88
- Potential profit
- $560.88
- User PnL
- -$84
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $6.4
- Potential payout
- $556.84
- Potential profit
- $550.44
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$18.6
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $284.37
- Potential profit
- $284.37
- User PnL
- -$10.78
Yes position
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $276.64
- Potential profit
- $276.64
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $249.98
- Potential profit
- $249.23
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $233.42
- Potential profit
- $233.42
- User PnL
- -$9.81
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $9.57
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $162.84
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.45
- Potential profit
- $123.45
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.6
- Potential profit
- $120.6
- User PnL
- -$14.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.08
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.09
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.14
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.02
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.95
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.9
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.74
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.79
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.12
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.62
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.42
Yes position
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.03
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.71
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $5.85
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.92
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.49
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.38
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Yes 4% 75.37 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes 0.8% 385.71 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes 8% 25 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 3.1% 483.87 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes 14% 119.36 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 3.1% 161.29 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 5.8% 172.41 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 56% 8.93 shares
- Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?Yes 6.2% 322.37 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 50% 64.28 shares
- Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Yes 44% 11.36 shares
- Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?Yes 0.4% 249.98 shares