No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$13.44
Polymarket Trader
tuyk
@Amandesien
0x6a5cab202d01df22d0718daff0ee53156b18b675
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.86
- Realized PnL
- $6.07
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.86
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
TikTok sale announced by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Solana reach $240 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 90% 12 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 84% 16 shares
- Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?No 74.9% 7.01 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes 91% 6.97 shares
- Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes 97.6% 10.25 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No 96.9% 3.95 shares
- Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No 93% 8.13 shares
- Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?Yes 93.9% 9.16 shares
- Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?No 95% 7.01 shares
- Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No 99.8% 8.77 shares
- Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes 73.5% 6.35 shares
- Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes 85.3% 6.35 shares