Polymarket Trader

Runner109

@egor19902012

0x6a678ca367432d28cb6aa55bb6bc57d8f53bdf6f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $30.95K
Realized PnL: $47.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $10.84K
Potential payout: $1.14M
Potential profit: $1.13M
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $2.74K

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $199.9K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $500
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $199.5K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $807.43
Potential payout: $146.8K
Potential profit: $146K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$62.98

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $482.26
Potential payout: $107.17K
Potential profit: $106.69K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$345.84

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $250
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $99.75K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $450
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $99.55K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $89.32
Potential payout: $59.54K
Potential profit: $59.45K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $29.77

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $775
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.23K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $325
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.67K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $787.04
Potential payout: $36.78K
Potential profit: $35.99K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$103.6

Yes position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $29.06K
Potential profit: $27.96K
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: $86.69

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $2.2K
Potential payout: $16.14K
Potential profit: $13.94K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$82.25

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $4.26K
Potential payout: $4.33K
Potential profit: $71.42
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $123.09

No position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $2.82K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $23.04

Messi position

World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.89K
Potential payout: $3.19K
Potential profit: $303.49
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $119.32

Yes position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $885.07
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $2.07K
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$21.06

No position

Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $2.9K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$375.83

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $170
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.83K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $10

Olise position

World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. Olise

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $670.6
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $108.92

Yes position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $52.96
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $34.61
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$5.26

Vinicius position

World Cup Goals H2H: Neymar vs. Vinicius Jr.

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $62.69
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $18.82

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.6%
Current value: $703.35
Potential payout: $862.47
Potential profit: $159.13
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$18.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51K

No position

Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.73K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75K

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.81K

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74K

Yes position

Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.62K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $1.25K

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Knicks position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $971.16

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $875

Yes position

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $829.19

No position

Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $658.67

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $643.79

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $623.93

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $606.5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $576.79

Knicks position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.9

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $531.85

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $475.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.6% 9,660.32 shares
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo

Messi 90.5% 816.31 shares
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 64% 1.81 shares
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 0.1% 1,680 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 515,352.34 shares
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 13.5% 5,133.2 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 515,352.34 shares
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 12.5% 7.5 shares
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 12.5% 6.19 shares
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 13.5% 307.99 shares
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35% 713.92 shares
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 13.4% 69.9 shares