tj69

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$14

No position

NATO dissolves before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $57.09
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $80.74

Yes position

Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $0.65
User PnL: $83.35

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $695.16
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $305.21
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $12.9

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $997.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $29.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $970.5
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $997.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $225
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $775
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $15

No position

StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $824.83
Potential payout: $999.79
Potential profit: $174.96
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $182.06

No position

Will South Africa reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $671.67
Potential payout: $698.56
Potential profit: $26.89
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$7.06

No position

Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $91.92
Potential payout: $633.92
Potential profit: $542
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$144.69

No position

Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $507.7
Potential payout: $615.4
Potential profit: $107.7
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $34.5
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $565.5
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $8.1

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $40.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $459.75
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$14.75

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 92.1%
Current value: $460.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $39.75
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$4.65

No position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $387.49
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $112.5
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $499.74
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $22.75

Yes position

Will Netherlands be the highest-scoring team in Group F during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $455.35
Potential payout: $455.58
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $20.8

Yes position

Will 4+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $413.97
Potential payout: $429.21
Potential profit: $15.24
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $9.57

No position

StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $386.09
Potential payout: $418.75
Potential profit: $32.66
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $20.53

No position

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $53.55
Potential payout: $411.93
Potential profit: $358.38
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$191.37

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $325.94
Potential payout: $399.98
Potential profit: $74.04
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $89.86

No position

Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 74.2%
Current value: $295.55
Potential payout: $398.59
Potential profit: $103.04
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$79.13

No position

Will Cape Verde reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $313.74
Potential payout: $317.23
Potential profit: $3.49
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $6.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81K

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

No position

Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $874.93

No position

Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $800.23

No position

Will Norway win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $786.35

No position

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $697.2

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $603.4

No position

Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $530

No position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $513.22

FOKUS position

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $497.47

No position

Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.07

No position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $486.77

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.67

Yes position

Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $457.92

No position

Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432.5

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $414.99

Yes position

Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402.03

Yes position

Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $389.06

Yes position

Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.03

No position

Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $349.66

No position

EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?