Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $1.65K
- Potential payout
- $3.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $56
Polymarket Trader
0x6a7492cB65cD415C2ee9476CEE3f38AE5cBABEcd-1736971979467
0x6a7492cb65cd415c2ee9476cee3f38ae5cbabecd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.65K
- Realized PnL
- $37.88
- Win rate
- 14.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.1
Yes position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 20–27?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.38
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$56.55
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 190–204 times June 20–27?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$117.97
Yes position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Friday June 27?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$208.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 44% 3,624.17 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Yes 46% 964.53 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Yes 51.8% 964.54 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 99.8% 1,653.35 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 73% 1,653.36 shares
- Will Elon tweet 190–204 times June 20–27?Yes 16.6% 709.15 shares
- Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 20–27?Yes 17% 408 shares
- Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?Yes 12% 405.13 shares
- Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Friday June 27?Yes 53% 7.26 shares
- Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?Yes 47.4% 8.11 shares
- Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?Yes 53% 8.11 shares
- Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?Yes 17.3% 405.14 shares